Champions League Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Atlético vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
ZAR
4 - 0
ATM
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATM
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 1
GRA
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
EAS
1 - 6
CEL
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
0 - 2
CEL
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |