Atlético vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
16%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
MAL
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
REC
3 - 0
ATM
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
MLL
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
RAY
1 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
35%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 1
VCF
40%
27%
34%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CEL
4 - 1
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MLL
0 - 2
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |