Atlético vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1999 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATM
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
60%
21%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
ATM
5 - 0
EXT
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATM
29%
25%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ATM
0 - 0
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1999 |
CEL
0 - 1
DEP
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
CEL
4 - 2
MLL
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
CDT
0 - 2
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
CEL
6 - 2
OVI
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
RSO
2 - 0
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |