Atlético vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
11.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
SPO
4 - 2
ATM
36%
23%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAD
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
ATM
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
CEL
0 - 0
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CEL
3 - 1
DEP
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
OVI
0 - 1
CEL
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CEL
1 - 2
RAC
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |