Atlético vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1926 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
58%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1926 |
ATM
4 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
BET
3 - 2
ATM
45%
23%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
RSO
2 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
CEL
2 - 1
RSO
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CEL
5 - 0
SPO
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
CEL
4 - 3
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
LEO
1 - 5
CEL
33%
24%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |