Atlético vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
6.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
ATM
7 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
ATH
3 - 3
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
ATM
5 - 4
EUR
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 2
ATM
34%
20%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
RSO
5 - 4
EUR
87%
8%
5%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
EUR
4 - 1
RAC
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
ATM
5 - 4
EUR
69%
16%
15%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
EUR
1 - 1
FCB
27%
23%
51%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
EUR
1 - 1
ATH
13%
16%
71%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |