Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 9-3
Atlético vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.3%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.6%
1.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ZAR
4 - 3
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 5
ATM
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 0
ESP
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 2
NUM
78%
16%
7%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LEG
3 - 1
CDT
61%
25%
15%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 5
ATM
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 85 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 1
CIE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ACF
0 - 0
CDT
56%
25%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |