Atlético vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
ZAR
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
RSO
0 - 1
ATM
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATM
68%
19%
12%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
TER
4 - 1
MAL
28%
31%
42%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
MAL
6 - 2
ALA
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
UES
0 - 2
MAL
36%
30%
34%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
MAL
1 - 0
RAY
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
DEP
0 - 0
MAL
36%
30%
34%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |