Atlético vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.4%
7.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
OVI
5 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
DEP
5 - 1
ATM
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATH
67%
16%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
VAD
4 - 4
ATM
40%
23%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
ATM
3 - 3
VCF
64%
18%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
MAL
2 - 3
SPO
62%
18%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
OVI
6 - 1
MAL
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MAL
1 - 2
DEP
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ATH
6 - 1
MAL
82%
10%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
MAL
3 - 0
VAD
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |