Atlético vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
ATM
5 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
50%
21%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ATH
1 - 3
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ATM
3 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 2
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 5
MAL
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
62%
18%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
SEV
5 - 2
MAL
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |