Atlético vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
CEL
6 - 1
ATM
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ATM
5 - 2
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 2
OVI
62%
19%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALC
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 0
SPO
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SEV
3 - 2
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
RMA
4 - 0
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |