Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-3
Atlético vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ATM
5 - 2
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CPC
1 - 1
ATM
14%
24%
63%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
BET
1 - 3
ATM
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 0
SLA
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 1
OSA
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CPC
1 - 0
MER
57%
26%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CPC
1 - 1
ATM
14%
24%
63%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
EXT
2 - 1
CPC
36%
30%
34%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CPC
2 - 1
POZ
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
MOR
3 - 1
CPC
34%
31%
35%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -3 |