Atlético vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ATM
3 - 2
EXT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
OVI
2 - 3
ATM
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ATM
3 - 3
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
POL
1 - 2
ATM
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUR
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ELC
2 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
CCF
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ALB
2 - 1
BUR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
BUR
1 - 1
NUM
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |