Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Atlético vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
ZAR
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
GET
0 - 0
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MLL
1 - 1
ATM
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
CEL
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 1
ATM
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BET
2 - 0
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
BET
1 - 0
UDL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
ZAR
1 - 2
BET
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BET
1 - 2
MLL
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
BET
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |