Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 13-2
Atlético vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
BET
1 - 5
ATM
35%
23%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 2
ATM
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
BET
1 - 5
ATM
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
MAL
0 - 1
BET
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BET
0 - 0
MAL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BET
3 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
31%
23%
47%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |