Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 4-2
Atlético vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 1
ATM
12%
23%
65%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
ATM
17%
25%
59%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 2
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 4
ATM
28%
28%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
BRE
49%
23%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BVB
6 - 2
LEV
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 2
M05
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 4
ATM
28%
28%
45%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
AUG
1 - 3
LEV
23%
25%
53%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |