Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Atlético vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.2%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1959 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
UDL
2 - 2
ATM
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATM
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ATM
3 - 1
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
SSC
1 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 1
SDI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
RUN
1 - 2
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BAS
2 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TER
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |