Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATM
20%
29%
51%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
85%
11%
5%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
5 - 1
BET
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATM
19%
28%
54%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 0
PSV
62%
22%
17%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 0
FCB
7%
16%
78%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
85%
11%
5%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
75%
14%
11%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
FCB
7%
16%
77%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 1
ARS
88%
9%
4%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |