Supercopa Final
Global 1-2
Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
ATM
2 - 1
ZAR
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ATM
7 - 2
FYL
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATM
32%
30%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
FYL
0 - 1
ATM
6%
19%
75%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ATM
3 - 0
ESP
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
FCB
1 - 2
OVI
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ROS
1 - 0
FCB
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SPO
2 - 1
FCB
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
FCB
3 - 0
ROS
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
FCB
3 - 1
ZAR
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |