Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1987 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATM
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
OSA
0 - 2
ATM
31%
28%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ATM
1 - 0
VAD
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1987 |
MLL
1 - 3
ATM
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
RSO
0 - 1
ATM
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
FCB
4 - 2
OSA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
FCB
1 - 2
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
FCB
2 - 0
BET
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 0
FCB
34%
29%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |