Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 1
MUR
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 3
SIO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 1
RSO
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1984 |
MUR
1 - 1
FCB
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
FCB
2 - 0
OSA
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 4
MET
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
BET
1 - 2
FCB
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |