Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
CAS
3 - 0
ATM
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 1
SPO
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATM
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
1 - 2
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
RAC
0 - 1
FCB
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FCB
3 - 1
VAD
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1982 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
FCB
4 - 3
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |