Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ATH
3 - 0
ATM
40%
29%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
DER
2 - 2
ATM
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ATM
4 - 0
ZAR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
ATM
4 - 0
KBK
94%
4%
1%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
FCB
3 - 1
SLA
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1974 |
FEY
0 - 0
FCB
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
24%
29%
47%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
FCB
5 - 2
VCF
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
FCB
5 - 0
LIN
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |