Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
ATM
3 - 1
BRE
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ATM
4 - 0
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATM
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
ATM
3 - 0
BAS
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
3 - 2
MLL
92%
6%
3%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
SHW
3 - 2
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
25%
24%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
FCB
3 - 1
OSA
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
FCB
3 - 1
DEP
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |