Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
OVI
1 - 0
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
UDL
0 - 3
ATM
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
ATM
1 - 3
VCF
69%
17%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATM
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1959 |
INT
2 - 4
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 0
OSA
93%
5%
2%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 2
CSK
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ELC
2 - 1
FCB
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
FCB
4 - 1
ATH
84%
10%
6%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |