Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ATM
3 - 1
DEP
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
OVI
0 - 0
ATM
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 1
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 4
ESP
87%
9%
5%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 1
SEV
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
DEP
1 - 0
FCB
24%
24%
52%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
9 - 0
OVI
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RAC
4 - 3
FCB
30%
24%
47%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | -1 |