Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
15%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ATM
7 - 2
RAC
84%
9%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
CEL
0 - 3
ATM
47%
21%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ATM
3 - 2
RMA
73%
14%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ZAR
0 - 5
ATM
28%
22%
50%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
FCB
6 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SPO
3 - 2
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 1
RSO
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
VAD
1 - 1
FCB
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
FCB
1 - 3
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |