Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 3
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
ATM
4 - 0
ALC
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 1
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ATM
4 - 0
DEP
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
FCB
4 - 3
VCF
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 2
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 0
FCB
32%
23%
45%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
FCB
4 - 0
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 2
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |