Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
ATM
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRA
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 4
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
FCB
4 - 0
GRA
87%
8%
4%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 0
FCB
35%
21%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 4
VCF
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
RMA
4 - 3
FCB
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |