Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
7 - 1
HER
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
5 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 4
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |