Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
RAC
5 - 2
ATM
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
61%
18%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
51%
20%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
OVI
4 - 1
ATM
73%
14%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
67%
16%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
FCB
1 - 0
HER
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
BET
2 - 0
FCB
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
50%
20%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
OSA
0 - 1
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |