Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAC
36%
21%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATM
59%
19%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
ATM
1 - 1
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
OSA
2 - 0
ATM
51%
20%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
FCB
4 - 0
RSO
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
BET
2 - 1
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
FCB
4 - 0
ARE
73%
15%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
BET
2 - 2
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
FCB
1 - 2
BET
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |