Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 2
ATM
46%
20%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
ATM
0 - 3
RSO
48%
20%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
ARE
2 - 3
ATM
45%
22%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 4
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 2
ARE
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RSO
3 - 0
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1929 |
RAC
0 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |