Champions League 1/16
Global 4-1
Atlético vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
CCF
0 - 2
ATM
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
ATM
2 - 1
CCF
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
AUS
2 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
STR
0 - 1
AUS
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
AUS
3 - 0
LSO
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
AUS
2 - 0
VIE
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1970 |
SWW
1 - 1
AUS
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |