Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MLL
4 - 1
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 2
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
OSA
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 0
SCP
57%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
2 - 2
GET
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
2 - 0
VAD
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
AND
4 - 0
ATH
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |