Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 2
RAC
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
CUL
0 - 1
ATM
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ATH
1 - 1
OSA
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ALB
1 - 1
ATH
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATH
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ATH
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |