Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
ATM
5 - 1
RSO
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
28%
29%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
ATM
3 - 0
MLL
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1992 |
ATH
0 - 3
ATM
42%
29%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
RBU
1 - 1
ATM
29%
29%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
ATH
1 - 2
LOG
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
RMA
5 - 0
ATH
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
ATH
2 - 0
SPO
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1992 |
ATH
0 - 3
ATM
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |