Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATM
26%
25%
50%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
ATM
5 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
ATM
4 - 1
BET
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ATH
3 - 1
RSO
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
RSO
3 - 1
ATH
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
ATH
2 - 0
BET
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |