Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 1
RAC
53%
20%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATH
1 - 2
VCF
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 4
ATH
37%
22%
42%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
7 - 5
FCB
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |