Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-1
Atlético vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 3
ATM
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
ATH
5 - 2
ATM
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATM
73%
14%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 3
ATM
49%
21%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
ARE
4 - 2
BAR
77%
14%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1935 |
BAR
3 - 2
ARE
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 1
RAC
33%
21%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |