Atlético vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MAL
3 - 0
ATM
29%
26%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
PAN
2 - 3
ATM
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 1
PSG
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
APO
0 - 0
PAP
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
APO
4 - 3
APO
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
APO
3 - 1
FCK
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 0
APO
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
APO
2 - 1
APO
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |