Europa League 1/64
Global 3-1
Atlético vs Ankaragücü analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ATM
1 - 2
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
RSO
4 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
ATM
0 - 2
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATM
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATM
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ankaragücü
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GAL
5 - 0
ANK
86%
11%
4%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
B36
0 - 1
ANK
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ANK
0 - 0
ADA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
ANK
1 - 0
B36
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
SAM
2 - 0
ANK
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |