Atlético vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
ATM
9 - 0
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATM
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
ALA
1 - 1
RSO
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
CUL
4 - 1
ALA
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1955 |
DEP
2 - 0
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
ALA
2 - 0
DEP
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
DEP
2 - 0
ALA
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |