Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 8-10
Atlético vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1932 |
ALA
7 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
LOG
2 - 1
ATM
34%
22%
44%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
ATM
1 - 0
LOG
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
MUR
4 - 0
ATM
46%
21%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1932 |
ALA
7 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
OSA
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ALA
1 - 0
RUN
41%
22%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
VCF
5 - 1
ALA
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |