Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Atlético vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
ATM
1 - 4
VCF
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
FCB
5 - 4
ATM
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
BET
3 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 1
ATM
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
AJA
3 - 1
RJC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 1
ATM
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
GRA
0 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |