Atlético U19 vs Rayo C. Alcobendas Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
1º
48
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MER
1 - 4
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
6 - 0
FUE
90%
8%
3%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GET
0 - 1
ATM
11%
17%
73%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 0
ATM
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAD
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo C. Alcobendas Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RCA
2 - 2
ALC
77%
15%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UAD
3 - 3
RCA
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 0
RMJ
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SSR
0 - 2
RCA
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 0
LEG
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +3 |