Atlético Maavi vs UD Pavía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Maavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 0
ATM
57%
19%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
UDB
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PDG
2 - 1
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATF
3 - 0
ATM
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
VIL
72%
15%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 0
ATF
34%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
PAV
39%
23%
37%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 1
CDV
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
PAV
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAV
5 - 1
LNO
76%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |