Atlético de Lugones vs U.Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
31%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
ATL
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
AND
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
AST
30%
26%
43%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
VAL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
COM
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
COM
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AND
2 - 0
COM
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |