Atlético de Lugones vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TIN
1 - 0
ATL
40%
25%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
LLA
38%
26%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AST
2 - 1
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAN
39%
26%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 4
RTI
52%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CLA
4 - 1
UCO
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
GUI
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 1
UCO
24%
23%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
6 - 1
MAD
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |