Atlético de Lugones vs La Guía Norte Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
TIN
0 - 0
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
TAP
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 2
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
CLA
59%
23%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Guía Norte Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 4
TAP
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
GUI
68%
21%
11%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
CLA
29%
25%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POD
3 - 3
GUI
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 5
GOZ
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |